What are the chances for India at the ICC WC 2023

History sets up a pattern, In 2011, India as a host nation won the World Cup. In,2015, Australia as a host won it fair and square. In 2019 England huffed and puffed to win the cup, that too as a host.

In 2019, I wrote an article stating why India will not win the World Cup and here I am writing as to why I rate India as the favorite to win the World Cup. India has been brushing aside the opposition and they have won 15 out of the last 19 matches. To top it all they are no 1 side in all 3 formats of Cricket a noteworthy and creditable feat.

Winning depends on 6 factors. Openers, Middle order, Spinners, Pacers, Captain and Pitch. Let us discuss each factor in a statistical analysis.


Opening stands sets the tone of a team. More often than not openers have paved the victory.

India has Shubman and Rohit as openers. Please have a look at the chart for the average and strike rate. The combined average the Indian average is way more than the average of any other team. Shubman is the leading scorer in the world and his average is mind-boggling. Rohit is known as Hit Man, he can destroy and he can hit hundreds. These two can put fear in any attack. The next best is England and Australia.  I have not taken Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Netherlands, as contenders so their figures are not collated.

sr. noPlayerAvg.strike ratecountry
1Rohit Sharma48.8590.53India
2Shubman Gill66.1102.84India
3Will Young43.0586.29New Zeland
4D Conway4685.52New Zeland
6Travis Head40.0799.52Australia
7M Marsh34.3294.21Australia
8DE Kock44.7595.75South Africa
9T Bavuma52.5891.07South Africa
10Imam ul Haq50.4482.19Pakistan
11Fakhar Zaman45.4491.96Pakistan



If openers fail then it is upto middle order to build innings and they should have boundary hitters. Please refer to the details of middle-order batsmen from 6 countries, who I believe are in contention.

Virat, Rahul, Shreyash, Hardik, and Sky can graft innings as well as hit boundaries at will. Indians have the best average followed by Pakistan and England. 

However, the demerit of the Indian contingent is that India doesn't have all-rounders. In 2011, Raina, Yuvraj could bowl well and protect some bowlers. England has Livingston and Moeen. Australia has Stoinis, Green, and Marsh. Pakistan has Iftikhar and Baig.

The statistics show that Indians have the best average and strike rate. So on this front, India emerges as the top team.

sr. noPlayerAvg.Str. RateCountry
1Virat Kohli57.3893.78India
2KL Rahul47.7387.64India
3Shreyas Iyer46.1897.88India
4SK Yadav27.79105.71India
5Ishan Kishan44.3102.43India
6Hardik Pandya33.81110.22India
7Steve Smith39.1465.28Australia
11Babar Azam58.1689.13Pakistan
14Markram35.4396.35South Africa
15Klassen41.34111.65South Africa
16Miller42.6103.34South Africa
17Williamson47.8580.99New Zealand
18Latham34.8384.96New Zealand
19G Phillips32.1490.18New Zealand
20Joe Root48.886.7England


We have created a table of strike rates and the Economy. You will observe that Kuldeep Yadav has the best strike rate among all spinners. His exploits in the Asia cup have created an apprehension among batters. Zampa and Adil Rasheed follow Kuldeep. Jadeja has one of the worst strike rates but one of the best economy rates. This explains why Ashwin and Jadeja were not there in the scheme of things.

In the Spin department, South Africa, England, and India rank better than others. So Again India emerges as one of the front runners.

SrPlayer str. RateeconomyTeam
1Kuldeep Yadav29.975.13India
2R Jadeja45.044.92India
6K. Maharaj41.734.7South Africa
7Shamsi35.495.5South Africa
8Ish Sodhi39.075.47New Zealand
9Santner47.464.88New Zealand
10Moeen Ali54.085.3England
11Adil Rasheed34.35.67England

Pace Bowlers

Now this is the first time Indian pace bowlers are top of the pile. However, India's obsession with Bumrah should go. Both Siraj and Shami have performed much better than Bumrah in One Dayers. I still feel not playing Shami in 2019 cost India the Cup. He took 4 wickets in a match then he was dropped. At every TV appearance, I have talked about Bumrah not being the same bowler after injury. However, Pakistan, Australia, England, South Africa, New Zealand, and India are in very close grouping in the pace bowlers front but Pakistan and Australia take the top 2 spots.

Sr. noPlayerstr. RateeconomyTeam
1J Bumrah31.234.67India
7Rabada32.885.07South Africa
8Marco Jansen36.786.24South Africa
9Ngidi28.925.73South Africa
10Boult28.64.94New Zealand
11Ferguson33.445.69New Zealand
12Southee36.815.48New Zealand
13Shaheen Afridi25.695.46Pakistan
14Haris rauf25.685.68Pakistan
15Hasan Ali31.675.75Pakistan


Rohit Sharma is the understated captain. He won against Dhoni as Captain in the IPL. He has taken India to the top position in all 3 formats. 

In ODIs, Rohit has captained 26 matches and won 19 matches, winning percentage is 73.08%. For the records, Dhoni won 55% of matches and Virat 58 %. So statistically Rohit is way ahead.

Similarly, in comparison with other captains like Buttler, Babar (64), and Smith, he is better than them. It is just that we appreciate others as we have not done data analytics.


India has a knack for losing big matches like both World Test Championships final and semifinals of 2019 and 2015. Some Indian players are prone to movement off the pitch and collapse takes place. In 2015 one burst of Mitchell Johnson finished India. In 2019 opening spell of  Boult finished India. Both world test championship finals took place In England where the ball moved so Indians fell prey to movement. 

In India, the Indian team is unbeatable and their victories in bilateral tournaments show their prowess. Now venues are Chennai, New Delhi, Ahmedabad, Pune, Dharmshala,   Lucknow, Mumbai, and Kolkata.  So only Dharmshala, Pune, and Lucknow can create problems. India will find it easy as others are flat pitches and Indian batters will have a field day.

In view of that, we can say that for Indian pitches Indian batsmen are superior to any other team. Their Pacers are decent if they remain fit. On the spin front, Ashwin will be better than Jadeja. Earlier Jadeja used to bat very well but in the last 18 matches his average is only 13 with a strike rate of 57. He has become a very good test batter at the expense of one-day batting.

Then against left-handers, both Kuldeep and Jadeja are left-armers so we need Ashwin as he is a threat to left-handers. The write-up can not be complete without discussing the worst tail in the world which is India. Kuldeep, Siraj, Bumrah and Shami are no good as batters.So if collapse takes place there is no rear guard action All other pace bowlers like Cummins, Afridi, Woakes, Southee, and Jansen can hit sixes but not Indians. 

Still, India has the most balanced team and India will be the most probable winner if pitches play to their reputation.

Happy Viewing!

Cover Credits: ICCofficial

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